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UK coffee shop market statistics

14 March 2005 by

The UK coffee shop market continues to expand, with saturation still some way off, especially outside London, according to forecasts by industry analysts Allegra Strategies. Branded chain outlets have accounted for the bulk of this growth, and this situation is likely to continue.

Although the independent sector still accounts for nearly twice as many outlets as the branded sector, more branded than independent outlets are expected to open in 2005 and 2006.

Total number of UK coffee shop outlets by type
Independents % branded chains (coffee-focused) % branded chains (food-focused) % non-specialist % Total
Dec-97 Dec-98 Aug-99 Dec-00 Dec-01 Dec-02 Dec-03 Jan-05 *Dec-05\* Dec-06\ 3,900 4,000 4,100 4,260 4,345 4,453 4,587 4,738 *4,855 4,930* 82.0% 78.5% 75.9% 68.7% 62.8% 60.3% 58.3% 56.8% *56.2% 55.5%* 233 419 557 914 1,226 1,395 1,527 1,707 *1,836 1,966* 4.9% 8.2% 10.3% 14.7% 17.7% 18.9% 19.4% 20.5% *21.3% 22.1%* 138 171 221 468 558 635 663 721 *739 754* 2.9% 3.4% 4.1% 7.5% 8.1% 8.6% 8.4% 8.6% *8.6% 8.5%* 485 503 522 562 788 903 1,092 1,172 *1,203 1,240* 10.2% 9.9% 9.7% 9.1% 11.4% 12.2% 13.9% 14.1% *13.9% 13.9%* 4,756 5,093 5,400 6,204 6,917 7,386 7,869 8,338*8,633 8,890*
\* - forecast † - hotels, supermarkets, department stores, bookstores, service stations *Source: Allegra strategies](http://www.allegra.co.uk) industry interviews and analysis, 2005* ##### Number of branded coffee outlets (London vs. other UK)
London % other UK % Total
Aug-99 Dec-00 Dec-01 Dec-02 Dec-03 Jan-05 *Dec-05\* Dec-06\ 377 626 743 822 861 903 *934 962* 48.5% 45.3% 41.6% 40.5% 39.3% 37.2% *36.3% 35.4%* 401 756 1,041 1,208 1,329 1,525 *1,641 1,758* 51.5% 54.7% 58.4% 59.5% 60.7% 62.8% *63.7% 64.6%* 778 1,382 1,784 2,030 2,190 2,428 *2,575 2,720*
\* - forecast *Source: [Allegra strategies
industry interviews and analysis, 2005*
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